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【繁體】散戶贏家林昇:實戰上萬次的選擇權獲利16招

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【繁體】散戶贏家林昇:實戰上萬次的選擇權獲利16招

Name: 【繁體】散戶贏家林昇:實戰上萬次的選擇權獲利16招
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SKU: 3136024971
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《Smart智富》214期封面故事報導的封面人物林昇的最新力作

本書是林昇實戰上萬次經驗，挑選出最值得學習的選擇權16招，其中，太極式建倉法是他獨創的動態調整招式，透過林昇的淺白說明，教讀者依序執行步驟，即使是投資新鮮人，也能快速上手，學會從市場提款的實戰技巧。

本書要教你：

1、選擇權最難的就是名詞太多、履約價太多，不知道該怎麼選擇？本書作者用很簡單的SOP步驟化，教你一步步建立選擇權部位。
2、選擇權買方就像買樂透，只需幾十元就有機會賺到數萬元，本書教你看懂4個指標，掌握台股立即上漲或立即下跌好時機，以小錢搏大利潤。
3、選擇權賣方就像當莊家收租，每天賺取時間價值，獲利少、勝率高，但最怕偶而發生一次的大波動，本書會教你監控黑天鵝來臨5徵兆，不怕黑天鵝來襲，讓你安心收租。
4、作者獨創二條軌道線，收盤價站上就做多、跌破就做空的太極式建倉法，每天只需看盤3分鐘，獲利非難事。

精彩內容搶先讀

10多年前，我從門外漢一頭栽入投資的世界，近年來，我成為專職投資人身兼奶爸，我早上送小孩上學後，就「上班」看盤操作，4個半小時收盤後，整理家務跟準備晚餐，用熱騰騰的飯菜，迎接小孩放學。

我跟大多數的人一樣從股票交易開始，也從股票賺到我的第一桶金，接著到期貨，再到選擇權，但近年來我的交易重心都在選擇權，我恨不得怎麼沒有早點認識它，如果早點認識選擇權，我的投資時間會更短，心情波動會更小，我實在太愛選擇權了，主要是因為選擇權有以下5個主要優點：

優點1：標的只有一個，比上千檔股票容易研究

技術分析若用來分析個股與加權指數，您覺得誰會比較準？為什麼？我在10多年來的交易經驗，發現使用技術分析來研判個股，勝率大約只有一半，只能利用停損來提高成功機率。這原因，除了有些個股比較「主力」色彩之外，不同主力在控盤的方式也不盡相同。

例如台積電與中華電，在漲跌的走法上就明顯不同，若用同一套技術分析來研判，您會發現有時成功，有時又失敗，而且再加上台灣上市櫃公司1千多支股票，想要掌握每一檔股票的「個性」，可不是一件容易的事情了。

畢竟單一公司股票籌碼有限，即便是台股第一大權值股台積電，也很容易被外資左右，中小型股票則有市場主力操作，偏離真實價值面。但選擇權的標的是大盤，大盤是所有股票的總合，主力上下其手的機率太低。

操作台指選擇權的好處，就在於台指選擇權只有一個標的，就是加權指數，也就是俗稱的大盤，你不用了解上千個對手的個性、基本面、籌碼面、技術面，你只要專心了解大盤「這個對手」就足夠了。

不過，由於加權指數不能交易，想交易加權指數的人是買賣台指期貨（TX），所以，台指選擇權平時的走勢其實是跟著台指期貨走，學理上，台指期與台指選擇權都是加權指數的衍生性商品，但實務上，因為期貨有未來預期的效應，在除權息旺季時，可以明顯看到台指期比加權指數少數十點，甚至上百點，而台指選擇權的價格則會趨近於台指數。

平時，台指期貨價格對於選擇權價格的影響是大於加權指數的，只有在結算當日，因為台指選擇權是根據「加權指數」收盤前30分鐘的簡單算術平均數，計算出結算價，當天加權指數的影響才會大於台指期貨，所以，平時操作台指選擇權的時候，只需要關心台指期貨走勢就可以。

當你的研究範圍由上千支股票，縮減成一個「大盤」，你會發現不管是技術分析或是籌碼分析，預判的準確性相對提高很多，而且不像股票有太多的人為控制的情況，再者，若以學習的角度來看，長時間針對同一個標的「累積經驗」的人為思考，用來輔助判斷行情的走勢，準確性自然提高了。

優點2：不用預測行情也能獲利

只研究一個對手，你打敗他的機率一定大升，但勝率提高，仍然沒有百分之百獲勝的把握，（如果有，請你告訴我，我要把身家都壓下去，同時獲利分您一半）

選擇權的好處是彈性大、組合多，你會預測大盤有預測大盤的操作法，如果你自認不會預測，或認為行情本來就不可預測，選擇權透過策略架構不需要預測行情漲或跌也可以獲利。

聽起來很神奇，怎麼可能？買股票、期貨不是一定要知道漲跌，才能做多或做空獲利，但交易選擇權卻不用知道行情走勢也能獲利，這是千真萬確的，這點是其它金融商品無法做到的，下一章我會介紹選擇權的特性，一步步讓你了解選擇權這個特別的商品，接著再解釋如何操作。

我先透露，第二篇選擇權的基本策略中有一個策略，只需要知道哪一天會有大波動，不用猜會漲跌也可以賺到錢，第三篇選擇權的動態策略中我的太極操作法，也不需預測大盤接下來漲或跌，隨勢建構部位，就可以獲利。

優點3：交易技術千變萬化新手老手都適合

選擇權的第2個優點不用預測行情也可獲利，就是來自於選擇權這個商品的架構十分特別，跟其他的投資商品都不同，選擇權有買方、賣方、買權、賣權，還有時間價值，讓選擇權的交易技術千變萬化，可單純、可複雜。

如此就能依不同風險屬性與個人的心性，組成最適合自己的交易策略，例如資金有限的，可以選擇以小博大的策略；資金充足的，只想穩穩賺個年化10% 的也行；想要天天有收入的也可以盯盤當沖。

總之，選擇權的策略變化萬千，只要深入了解之後就能打造自己的交易模式，但記得，適合自己的策略才能得心應手，例如以大家熟悉的存股來說，若本金投入太小，存過20年，就算有強大的複利公式，到時獲利金額是不是能達到您的目標呢？答案有些人滿意，有些人則不滿意，所以交易策略百百種，尋找最適合自己的才是上策。

優點4：交易成本的非常低廉

曾有投資經驗的人一定都知道，手續費愈低對交易是愈有利的，選擇權交易成本分為「交易稅」、「手續費」兩個部分，交易稅又分為兩種，交易稅部份因為有「結算日」的因素，所以分「結算前買賣選擇權」，與「持有部位並在到期時履約」兩種方式。

①台指選擇權交易稅部份：依買與賣之權利金金額來課徵，稅率為千分之一。
②交易人若於到期時履約結算者，則按到期結算價，以十萬分之2課徵交易稅。

當我們買進一口選擇權，就要付「手續費」給期貨商，同理，賣一口選擇權也是如此。這個金額主要由下單方式與平均交易口數來決定，網路下單比較便宜，交易口數達千口、萬口，都有不同折扣，您可貨比三家不吃虧，多多詢問期貨商與營業員，或同好，自然心裡就會有個數字了。

優點5：風險自控

有買過基金的投資人，應該都會填過理專給的「客戶投資風險屬性評量表」。不知各位讀者有想過嗎？一個投資新手連基金都沒買過，或是連承擔風險的能力也不明白，怎知道交易的風險在那呢？那這份風險評估會不會流於形式呢？

基金如此，股票也是如此！但選擇權的交易風險卻比較具體一點，買入的時候就會知道最大的風險在哪裡，選擇權架構出來後，看盤軟體都會直接告訴你最大損失與獲利的點位，非常清楚。

選擇權具有策略的觀念在其中，若台指走勢不如預期時，適時的「調整」部位，則還可能全身而退，甚至獲利，與其它金融商品相比實在是彈性多了。如何將部位由虧損變成小虧，甚至獲利，我會在第三篇詳細說明。

自序林昇

第一篇：權選擇基本概念
何謂選擇權：人生處處都是選擇權
選擇權優缺點：5大優點讓我愛上選擇權
選擇權基本：選擇權的基本常識
買方權利金：買方要支付權利金
賣方保證金：賣方收了權利金要付保證金
漲跌的祕密：權利金漲跌的各種因素
到期損益圖：買賣選擇權之前先學會畫到期損益圖

第二篇：選擇權重要策略
買進買權　預期上漲；1、台指期開盤向上跳空1%、2:台指期指數在均線20MA之上的結算週
買進賣權　預期下跌：１新台幣急跌、2台指期內盤大於外盤3%以上
賣出賣權　預期緩漲、急漲、不跌破履約價；漲勢明確3條件：
②台指期收盤在10MA均線之上
②前十大法人淨部位要增加
③外資及陸資未平倉要增加
賣出買權　預期緩跌、急跌、不突破履約價；跌勢明確3條件：
②指期收盤在10MA均線之下
②台幣持續貶值
③資及陸資未平倉要減少
買權多頭價差：預期小漲 ;外資在加權指數的累計買賣超，買就採用買權多頭價差
賣權多頭價差：預期小漲。賣權多頭價差的使用時機、與買進買權、買權多頭價差很相似。
買權空頭價差：預期小跌。使用時機：外資累計買賣超向下時，建立買權空頭價差來參與行情
賣權空頭價差：預期小跌，看空
賣出跨勒式：預期盤整時使用
碟式兀鷹式：預期盤整--有保險的賣出跨勒式-碟式價差、兀鷹價差
買進跨勒式：預期突破

第三篇：選擇權動態交易
太極式建倉：大盤漲就建多單、大盤跌就建空單，太極式建倉法讓你輕鬆獲利不煩惱，獨家自創6日EMA軌道線讓你一眼看出大盤強與弱
建倉契約：建倉的5項原則
分批與避險：逐日分批建倉
提高勝率：多看幾個指標，提高獲利機率與幅度
周選衛星：核心月選擇權操作，有賺的錢再拿來操作周選擇權

第四篇：賣方風險管理
賣方優缺點：賣方穩定，但也有風險，快來搞懂風險是哪些?
預知黑天鵝：賣方最怕黑天鵝，但有方法預知黑天鵝可事先避免
危機處理：圖解說明黑天鵝的對鎖策略，如何運用期貨與買方避險

第五篇：交易心理
學習選擇權：將選擇權當成事業
停損就是主導：透過停損表試算，讓你洞悉人性
尊重市場：尊重市場順勢而為

交易語錄

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