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Jingdong book

2009-2020年中国节能减排重点行业环境经济形势分析与预测

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《2009--2020年中国节能减排重点行业环境经济形势分析与预测》报告(以下简称《报告》)是环境保护部环境规划院环境预测研究中心和国家信息中心经济预测部继2008年推出第一份环境经济预测报告以来,又联合推出的第二份环境经济预测报告。
《报告》在当前国家实施节能减排战略关键时期和应对全球金融危机大背景下,特别选择了节能减排重点关注的七大重点行业——电力、钢铁、有色、化工、造纸、纺织和建材等进行环境经济形势分析与趋势预测研究,目的是为国家环境保护“十二五”规划和重点行业工业污染防治“十二五”规划和政策研究提供基础支持。
《报告》在回顾分析近5年来(2003-2008年)中国宏观环境经济形势、工业环境经济形势和七大重点行业的环境与发展形势的基础上,运用国家中长期环境经济预测模型与方法,对2009-2020年期间(重点是“十一五”关键年2009年、“十二五”中期2012年、“十二五”末期2015年、“十三五”末期2020年)国家宏观经济和七大重点行业的产业发展趋势、资源能源消耗压力等进行了预测,对各行业的主要特征污染物的产生及排放趋势、工业污染治理投入需求等进行了预测与分析,提出了未来这七大重点业在节能减排工作中需注意的若干问题和政策建议。
Catalogue

执行概要
0.1 预测结论
0.2 问题识别
0.3 政策建议
第1章 中国工业发展的宏观环境经济形势分析
1.1 中国宏观经济发展形势回顾(2003-2008年)
1.2 中国工业发展与产业结构分析
1.3 中国工业环境污染现状与特点
1.4 中国未来经济社会发展趋势(2009-2020年)

第2章 中国电力工业环境经济形势分析与预测
2.1 电力行业环境经济发展形势回顾(2003-2008年)
2.2 电力行业的经济与能耗、水耗趋势预测(2009-2020年)
2.3 电力行业环境污染趋势预测(2009-2020年)
2.4 电力行业环境与发展问题及建议

第3章 中国钢铁工业环境经济形势分析与预测
3.1 钢铁行业环境经济发展形势回顾(2003-2008年)
3.2 钢铁工业的经济与能耗、水耗趋势预测(2009-2020年)
3.3 钢铁工业环境污染趋势预测
3.4 钢铁工业环境与发展问题及建议

第4章 中国有色金属工业环境经济形势分析与预测
4.1 有色金属工业环境经济发展形势回顾(2003-2008年)
4.2 有色金属行业的经济与能耗、水耗趋势预测(2009-2020年)
4.3 有色金属工业环境污染趋势预测(2009-2020年)
4.4 有色金属工业环境与发展问题及建议

第5章 中国化学原料工业环境经济形势分析与预测
5.1 化学原料工业环境经济发展形势回顾(2003-2008年)
5.2 化学原料工业环境经济形势预测(2009-2020年)
5.3 化学原料工业环境污染趋势预测
5.4 化学原料工业环境与发展问题及建议

第6章 中国纺织工业环境经济形势分析与预测
6.1 纺织工业环境经济发展形势回顾(2003-2008年)
6.2 纺织工业的经济与能耗趋势预测(2009-2020年)
6.3 纺织工业环境污染趋势预测(2009-2020年)
6.4 纺织工业环境与发展问题及建议

第7章 中国造纸工业环境经济形势分析与预测
7.1 造纸工业环境经济发展形势回顾(2003-2008年)
7.2 造纸工业的经济与能耗趋势预测(2009-2020年)
7.3 造纸工业环境污染趋势预测(2009-2020年)
7.4 造纸工业环境与发展问题及建议

第8章 中国建材(水泥)工业环境经济形势分析与预测
8.1 建材(水泥)工业环境经济发展形势回顾(2003-2008年)
8.2 建材(水泥)工业的经济与能耗趋势预测(2009-2020年)
8.3 建材(水泥)工业环境污染趋势预测(2009-2020年)
8.4 建材(水泥)工业环境与发展的问题及建议
附表 节能减排七大重点行业环境经济主要指标预测结果
参考文献
Book Abstract

第1章 中国工业发展的宏观环境经济形势分析
1.1中国宏观经济发展形势回顾(2003-2008年)
2003年以来,我国经济进入新一轮增长周期。围绕着全面贯彻落实科学发展观,加快推进和深化各项改革,积极扩大对外开放,不断加强和改善宏观调控,切实转变经济发展方式,经济社会发展取得了举世瞩目的成就,综合国力明显增强,国际地位显著提高,全面建设小康社会又取得了新进展。
(1)经济持续平稳快速增长,经济总量在世界的位次跃升,人均GDP步入中等收入国家行列
2003年以来,随着新一轮经济周期的启动,我国经济不仅增长速度快,而且持续增长的时问长、稳定性好,经济总量和人均水平均实现了大跨越。2003-2007年经济实现了连续5年10%以上的增长速度。这5年是改革开放以来经济增长快、持续时间长的时期之一,2003-2007年GDP年均增长11.3%,不仅比同期世界年均增长的4.9%高出6.4个百分点,而且比改革开放以来年平均增长9.8%高出1.5个百分点。2008年受全球金融危机不断蔓延和加深的影响,我国经济增速有所下滑,全年经济增长9%,仍居世界较高水平。
Introduction

《2009—2020年中国节能减排重点行业环境经济形势分析与预测》报告(以下简称(《报告》)是环境保护部环境规划院环境预测研究中心和国家信息中心经济预测部继2008年推出第一份环境经济预测报告以来,又联合推出的第二份环境经济预测报告。
《报告》在当前国家实施节能减排战略关键时期和应对全球金融危机大背景下,特别选择了节能减排重点关注的七大重点行业——电力、钢铁、有色、化工、造纸、纺织和建材等进行环境经济形势分析与趋势预测研究,目的是为国家环境保护“十二五”规划和重点行业工业污染防治“十二五”规划和政策研究提供基础支持。
(《报告》在回顾分析近5年来(2003—2008年)中国宏观环境经济形势、工业环境经济形势和七大重点行业的环境与发展形势的基础上,运用国家中长期环境经济预测模型与方法,对2009—2020年期间(重点是“十一五”关键年2009年、“十二五”中期2012年、“十二五”末期2015年、“十三五”末期2020年)国家宏观经济和七大重点行业的产业发展趋势、资源能源消耗压力等进行了预测,对各行业的主要特征污染物的产生及排放趋势、工业污染治理投入需求等进行了预测与分析,提出了未来这七大重点行业在节能减排工作中需注意的若干问题和政策建议。
在《报告》的研究撰写过程中,自始至终得到了环境保护部规划财务司、环境规划院、国家信息中心领导的关怀和悉心指导,环保部规划财务司贾金虎处长,环境规划院王金南副院长、吴舜泽副院长、葛察忠主任,原国家环保总局过孝民研究员等对《报告》提出了许多好的意见和建议。中国电力企业联合会、中国钢铁工业协会、中国有色金属工业协会、中国石化协会、中国纺织工业协会、中国造纸行业协会、中国建材联合会等行业协会的专家对《报告》的完善也提出了许多宝贵的意见和建议。中国环境科学出版社葛莉女士对(《报告》的编辑出版付出了大量心血。在此,对关心和支持《报告》研究和出版的各位领导、专家和研究人员表示衷心感谢。由于时间仓促,《报告》中难免有许多不足之处,敬请批评指正。

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