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Jingdong book

经济每月谈:中国智库经济观察(2013年第1辑)

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经济每月谈:中国智库经济观察(2013年第1辑)

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“经济每月谈”是由中国国际经济交流中心主办、中央人民广播电台协办,每月举行一次的经济研讨活动。中国国际经济交流中心秉承“创新、求实、睿智、兼容”的理念,自2009年7月起,每月举办一次“经济每月谈”活动,邀请国内外知名专家学者、企业家和政府官员,就社会关注的国内外经济热点问题进行深入研讨,迄今举办了50余期。2013年讨论的热点问题主要包括:2013年世界与中国经济展望、如何避免和跨越“中等收入陷阱”、新型城镇化、一季度宏观经济形势分析、解析我国“高货币化之谜”、打造中国经济升级版、上半年经济形势分析、新型农村社区建设与土地流转实践、新兴经济体经济形势,等等。《经济每月谈:中国智库经济观察(2013年第1辑)》将2013年1~9月“经济每月谈”内容和中心部分研究成果汇编成集出版,以飨读者。
Author Description

中国国际经济交流中心(China Center for International Economic Exchanges),简称:国经中心,英文缩写:CCIEE。是经中华人民共和国政府批准成立的国际性经济研究、交流和咨询服务机构,是集中经济研究领域高端人才并广泛联系各方面经济研究力量的综合性社团组织,由曾培炎先生任理事长。国经中心由国家发展和改革委员会主管。国经中心主要业务范围和服务领域是研究经济问题、开展经济交流、促进经济合作与提供咨询服务。
Catalogue

智库报告选编
经济社会发展新阶段的新特点
加快建立中国特色社会主义行政体制
努力打造中国经济升级版
自贸区促进世界贸易发展
加强粮食宏观调控,继续做好市场供应
从长计议有效应对经济下行压力
民间投资政策三年落实情况分析研究
关于设立海外能矿投资基金的建议
对当前宏观经济形势的若干意见和政策建议
保持金融市场稳定是当前宏观调控的重要内容
关于加快落实“金融国十条”的几点政策建议
关于发起设立亚洲实业银行的建议
重点企业“走出去”的问题与对策
对外开放在振兴东北老工业基地中的作用研究
引领全球经济复苏的亚洲经济
中美两国亟须增进创新领域中的理解与互信
当前投资形势分析及政策建议
我国能源发展战略应明确的几个问题
我国跨越“中等收入陷阱”具备四大有利条件

经济每月谈
第四十三期 2013年世界与中国经济展望
世界经济形势分析与展望
中国经济具备保持较快增长的潜力(上篇)
中国经济具备保持较快增长的潜力(下篇)
第四十四期 如何避免和跨越“中等收入陷阱”
加快农业现代化是我国跨人高收入国家行列的必由之路
我国跨越“中等收入陷阱”面临的挑战与抉择
第四十五期 新型城镇化:中国的现实选择
中国城镇化推进过程的五个问题
城镇化的实质是经济形态和生产力布局的新调整
新型城镇化及新乡市的实践
第四十六期 一季度宏观经济形势分析
一季度中国经济增长处于“弱复苏
中国外贸发展正在酝酿六个深层次变化
对未来中国经济运行的几点看法
第四十七期 解析我国“高货币化之谜
高货币化反映中国金融深化过程
……
Book Abstract

(二)增加住房供给
现在部分城市房价上涨过快,怎样稳定城市住房价格?我们要调整思路。要从过去以抑制需求为主,改变为增加供给为主,鼓励增加城市的保障房供给,增加普通商品住宅供给,增加住房土地的供给,把房地产投资、房地产销售激活,继续发挥房地产对经济发展的支柱作用。这对当前扩大内需,为实现稳增长发挥重要作用。
(三)调整消费政策
现在的消费热点是住房、汽车。有些城市现在限制汽车购买,这和扩大内需,和很多家庭要圆自己的轿车梦相违背。我们要实现中国梦,很多年轻人、中国人的中国梦就是“轿车梦”。现在由于限制购买,这个梦做不成了,所以这个政策要改,要把限制购买变成放开购买,适当限制使用,通过提高拥有率,降低使用率,为轿车进入家庭和轿车的生产销售进入良性循环提供条件。像东京、纽约、伦敦这样的大城市,所有家庭都有轿车,但是使用率比较低,上下班是乘坐公共交通,节假日或者急需用车时才使用。中国是拥有率低使用率高,中国的每千人轿车拥有量低于世界平均水平,我们要通过鼓励购买、适当限制使用、发展公共交通来解决当前汽车限购政策问题。另外要加快道路建设和停车场建设,为轿车进入家庭提供好的使用环境。现在听说有一些城市想向北京、上海学习,希望这些城市不要向它们学习,而是要从改善道路等其他方面想办法。
另外,要降低奢侈品的进口关税。现在中国人在国外的奢侈品消费全世界第一,中国的游客在全世界购货量平均一个人达到三四千美元,日本人出去一趟,购货量是两千多美元。中国购买的奢侈品占欧洲市场奢侈品的46%,占北美奢侈品市场的25%,这么大的购买量,我们留在国内不是更好吗?通过适当降低进口关税,使消费者在国内购买比在国外购买还便宜,消费发生在国内更有助于拉动国内经济。所以有人提议把奢侈品改成中高档消费品比较合适。
(四)加大环保投入
曾培炎理事长建议要以降低PM2.5为杠杆撬动产业升级和经济转型,这个提议非常好。环保部正抓紧制订《京津冀地区联合治理大气污染行动计划》,共十条,措施非常有力。这十条措施出台后可能会使环保投入形成一个热潮,现在关键是要建立一个生态体制。所谓生态体制就是对环境生态的投入,同样可以产生GDP,可以产生利润,可以增加就业。也就是说要颁布一个强制性的排放标准,大家都来执行,达不到这个排放标准企业就关门,这样所有企业把污染物的回收设备都安装上,而且一天24小时开起来,就形成了环保产业的庞大市场,利用市场机制,拉动环保产业的发展,使环保投入形成新的投资热点和经济增长点。各级政府要把提供清洁的空气作为提供公共产品的重要内容之一,作为政府的重要职责。现在一般商品都供过于求了,生产资料供过于求了,但是公共产品包括清洁的空气、干净的水还是短缺的,这个短缺如何解决呢?就靠政府来解决,把这些公共产品形成一个市场,引导资金投入,同样可以形成新的投资热点和经济增长点。
……

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