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第二次改革:中国未来30年的强国之路

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每一次改革背后都有一种兴衰可鉴,中国改革高歌猛进,强国之路就在脚下
改革决策
强国之路思想文库
这是一本鲜明提出“第二次改革”的研究专著
是一本改革版的“大国崛起策”
为什么提出“第二次改革"?
因为中国需要找寻一条未来30年的强国之路。
“第二次改革”的时代背景是什么?
·消费主导时代·城市化时代·低碳经济时代·
·公共产品短缺时代·政府转型时代·
“第二次改革"应从哪些领域突破?
市场领域:坚定地推进市场化改革
社会领域:构建发展型社会的体制
行政领域:高举政府转型这一旗帜
经过30年的改革开放,中国已进入第二次改革的伟大时代
Content Description

《第二次改革:中国未来30年的强国之路》是作者这两年思考研究改革问题的成果汇集。2007年以来,作者研究的重点大都放在发展阶段变化、政府转型、公共服务体制与行政管理体制改革等方面。2008年国际金融危机以来,作者把关注的重点更多地放在反危机中的改革政策研究上。在这方面,作者所在的中改院做了较为深入的研究,产生了一些有分量的研究成果。某些观点,例如基本公共服务均等化、反危机重在深化改革等,对相关的政策决策起到了一定的参考作用。
Author Description

迟福林,研究员,博士生导师 曾任海南省委政策研究室和海南省体制改革办公室主要负责人现任中国(海南)改革发展研究院院长,海南省社科联主席,第十一届全国政协委员,兼任中国经济体制改革研究会副会长、中国企业联合会副会长、海南省政府咨询顾问、上海市人民政府决策咨询特聘专家,国家行政学院、东北大学等多所重点院校的客座教授或特聘教授
迟福林同志是享受国务院特殊津贴专家,海南省首批有突出贡献专家,2002年被中组部、中宣部、国家人事部和国家科学技术部联合授予“全国杰出专业技术人才”荣誉称号,2009年入选“影响新中国60年经济建设的100们经济学家”
Catalogue

绪论 下一个三十年:第二次改革
第一章 后危机时代改革的历史机遇
第一节 危机凸显改革
一、世界范围内经济结构大调整时代的到来
二、“大进大出”时代的结束
三、高投资、高增长时代的结束
四、后危机时代凸显改革
第二节 危机孕育改革新机遇
一、后危机时代新兴经济体的新挑战、新角色、新模式
二、大国责任与大国作用
三、人民币国际化时代的来临
第三节 后危机时代的改革趋势
一、超越经济增长方式的改革
二、后危机时代改革的战略性突破
三、更为主动的大国开放战略

第二章 发展型新阶段与第二次改革的新起点
第一节 我国进入发展型新阶段
一、生存型和发展型是两个相互联系的发展阶段
二、从生存型阶段向发展型阶段的历史性跨越
三、发展阶段跨越中的改革因素
第二节 发展型新阶段需求结构的战略性升级
一、从生活必需品到耐用消费品
二、从私人产品需求到公共产品需求
三、从物的发展到人的发展
第三节 发展型新阶段面临的突出矛盾
一、经济快速增长同发展不平衡、资源环境约束的突出矛盾
二、公共需求的全面快速增长与公共产品短缺的突出矛盾
三、经济发展、社会进步同公共治理建设滞后的突出矛盾
四、发展型新阶段带来改革环境的变化
第四节 发展型新阶段第二次改革的现实需求
一、把发展方式转型作为第二次改革的基本目标
二、以发展方式转型为主线的第二次改革
三、构建第二次改革的“三重力”

第三章 消费主导时代的改革
第一节 消费主导时代的到来
一、生产主导型与消费主导型的经济增长方式
二、生产主导型经济增长方式的不可持续
三、从生产大国向消费大国转变的历史机遇
四、从生产主导型向消费主导型转变的改革选择
第二节 城市化时代的改革选择
一、城市化是促进消费、构建消费大国的战略性举措
二、扩大内需重在推进城市化
三、我国城市化有很大的发展空间
四、我国推进城市化有多种途径.
五、消费时代推进城市化重在破解城乡二元制度结构
第三节 低碳经济时代的改革
一、高碳经济模式难以持续
二、我国发展低碳经济面临挑战
三、新能源与低碳经济蕴含着重要的商业机遇
四、低碳经济时代的改革选择
第四节 市场化改革任重道远
一、坚定市场化改革的基本方向
二、加快推进垄断行业改革
三、加快推进民营经济发展的制度建设
四、加快推进就业体制改革
五、加快推进财税体制改革
六、加快推进金融体制改革

第四章 公共产品短缺时代的改革
第一节 我国进入公共产品短缺时代
一、社会公共需求的变化
二、基本公共服务供给的现实压力
第二节 充分发挥基本公共服务的历史性作用
一、扩大内需重在基本公共服务
二、充分发挥基本公共服务在缓解收入分配差距中的作用
三、促进入的全面发展重在基本公共服务
四、完善乡村治理重在基本公共服务
第三节 加快推进基本公共服务体制建设
一、新阶段基本公共服务体制建设的主要任务
二、加大基本公共服务投资力度
三、新阶段基本公共服务体制建设的主要措施
第四节 公民社会发展趋势下的“安全阀”建设
一、把“安全阀”作为新阶段重要的公共产品
二、建立适应公共需求变化的“安全阀”
三、发挥民间组织在社会协商中的重要作用
第五节 在积极的社会政策中推进发展型社会体制建设
一、加强公共就业服务
二、加快推进收入分配体制改革

第五章 政府转型时代的改革
第一节 发展方式转变挑战政府转型
一、经济增长方式转变与政府转型
二、公共需求变化与政府转型
三、政府自身建设与政府转型
第二节 政府转型与政府作用
一、转型中的政府与市场
二、危机中的政府作用
三、政府的基本公共服务职能
第三节 以政府转型为主线的行政管理体制改革
一、加快建立公共职责的制度保障
二、实质性地推进行政体制范围内决策、执行、监督三权分设的改革
三、以事业单位改革为重点,加快建立公共服务体系
第四节 政府转型与政府自身建设是一场深刻的改革
一、加快推进政府自身建设
六、加快推进金融体制改革
……
结语:第二次改革:走向结构性改革
Book Abstract

第一章 后危机时代改革的历史机遇
第一节 危机凸显改革
今年3月,我主编的《2009中国改革评估报告》,以“危机挑战改革”为主题,在书的开头就提出:“危机倒逼改革。历史经验表明,危机往往是改革的重要契机和重要起点。过去30年,无论是农村家庭联产承包责任制、城镇国有企业改革,还是财税金融体制变革,大都具有危机导向的特点。”①危机凸显改革。不仅仅是因为危机暴露出我国发展模式中固有的一些矛盾和问题,更在于危机使我们清醒地认识到,我国改革发展所处的外部环境已经发生重大变化,现存的国际经济格局需要做出重大调整。能否适应新时代的大趋势,并在新的世界政治经济格局中发挥大国作用,承担大国责任,取决于我国改革发展的新进程是否顺利。
一、世界范围内经济结构大调整时代的到来
从历史看,每一次大的经济金融危机都包括两个过程:一是全球范围内大调整的过程;一是全球范围内大洗牌的过程。国际金融危机引起的世界范围内经济结构的大调整是不可避免的,危机引起的全球经济格局的大变动也是不可避免的。

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