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滨海地区土地利用时空格局演变与模拟预测研究

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滨海地区土地利用时空格局演变与模拟预测研究

Name: 滨海地区土地利用时空格局演变与模拟预测研究
Brand: Jingdong book
SKU: 3110042551
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《滨海地区土地利用时空格局演变与模拟预测研究:以大连市金州区为例》是国家自然科学基金项目（41471140）“基于局部土地利用竞争元胞自动机模型的土地利用变化模拟与预测研究”的研究成果之一。全书共10章，根据滨海地区土地利用特征与演变过程，采用元胞自动机与GIS空间分析等方法，理论结合实际，从土地利用变化、景观格局变化、土地利用综合、土地利用变化模拟、土地利用变化预测、辅助决策系统等方面，系统研究了近25年大连市金州区土地利用时空演变的过程与机理，为滨海地区土地利用可持续发展提供科学的决策与支撑。

Catalogue

前言
第1章绪论
1.1研究背景
1.1.1土地利用当前现状
1.1.2滨海地区土地利用的复杂性与先导性
1.2研究目标与研究内容
1.2.1研究目标
1.2.2研究内容
1.3研究框架与结构
1.3.1研究框架
1.3.2研究结构
1.4研究意义
1.4.1推动土地利用空间格局演变研究方法的创新
1.4.2深化滨海地区土地利用格局发展演变的理解
1.4.3构建指导滨海地区土地利用规划和城市发展的依据
1.5本章小结
参考文献
第2章滨海地区土地利用研究进展
2.1土地利用研究发展历程概述
2.1.1国外土地利用研究的总体历程
2.1.2国内土地利用研究的总体历程
2.2土地利用的研究内容
2.2.1模型应用研究
2.2.2土地利用的驱动力及影响因素研究
2.2.3土地利用变化的多尺度研究
2.2.4土地利用的环境影响研究
2.2.5其他土地利用研究
2.3滨海地区土地利用研究
2.3.1滨海地区土地利用研究现状
2.3.2滨海地区土地利用研究特点及问题
2.3.3国外研究评述
2.3.4国内研究评述
2.4本章小结
参考文献
第3章理论基础与数据
3.1理论基础
3.1.1土地利用格局的空间表征
3.1.2土地利用格局形成的社会经济解释
3.1.3土地利用格局形成的空间解释
3.2研究区概述
3.2.1研究区的选择依据
3.2.2研究区概述
3.3滨海数据构成与研究方法
3.3.1数据构成与来源
3.3.2研究方法简述
3.4本章小结
第4章基于语义优先的土地利用数据综合
4.1制图综合概述
4.1.1制图综合的相关理论
4.1.2制图综合研究现状
4.2土地利用数据综合
4.2.1土地利用数据
4.2.2土地利用数据制图综合的特点及准则
4.3语义相关性综合研究
4.4实例分析
4.5本章小结
参考文献
第5章滨海景观格局时空演变
5.1景观格局概述
5.1.1景观
5.1.2景观生态学
5.1.3景观格局
5.2景观格局指数概述
5.2.1景观格局指数
5.2.2景观格局指数计算软件
5.3实例分析
5.3.1研究区域
5.3.2数据来源与处理
5.3.3景观格局指数选取
5.3.4研究结果
5.4本章小结
参考文献
第6章土地利用格局演变模拟预测与生态效应
6.1土地利用格局变化概述
6.2研究区域与数据来源
6.2.1研究区域
6.2.2数据来源
6.2.3数据处理
6.3研究方法及技术路线
6.3.1研究方法
6.3.2技术路线
6.4土地利用格局变化分析
6.4.1土地利用动态度分析
6.4.2土地利用结构变化分析
6.5土地利用变化驱动机制分析
6.5.1自然驱动力
6.5.2人为驱动力
6.6土地利用变化模拟预测
6.7生态系统服务价值分析
6.7.1休闲娱乐生态服务价值
6.7.2洪涝调节生态服务价值
6.7.3养分循环生态服务价值
6.7.4生态服务价值总和统计
6.8本章小结
参考文献
第7章影响因素与情境设定
7.1滨海地区土地利用空间格局的影响因素
7.1.1土地利用空间格局形成及演变的一般因素
7.1.2滨海地区土地利用空间格局形成与演进的特殊因素
7.2滨海地区土地利用影响因素的选择
7.2.1自然因素
7.2.2经济发展
7.2.3政府政策
7.2.4空间规划
7.3滨海地区土地利用格局情境的设定
7.3.1港口开发的可能性
7.3.2产业园区发展的可能性
7.3.3人口集聚区规划建设的可能性
7.4本章小结
参考文献
第8章模拟预测的方法原理
8.1主要模型技术原理
8.1.1主流模型及其原理
8.1.2其他模型及方法原理
8.2LLCCA模型的架构与特点
8.2.1局部土地利用竞争
8.2.2模型的组织架构
8.2.3模型的主要特点
8.3LLCCA模型的运算原理
8.3.1土地利用转换概率
8.3.2Markov模型分析
8.3.3复合输入输出土地利用竞争分析
8.3.4界定模拟时间
8.3.5各模块的主要算法
8.3.6全局地类转换决策
8.4本章小结
参考文献
第9章空间格局的演进及其机理
9.1数据处理
9.1.1土地利用数据处理
9.1.2遥感影像数据处理
9.2空间格局的演变特征与过程
9.2.1土地利用空间格局的演变特征
9.2.2土地利用空间格局的演讲过程
9.2.3土地利用空间格局演变的模式
9.3土地利用格局演变的机理
9.3.1土地利用格局演变的影响因子
9.3.2金州区土地利用格局演变的内在机理
9.4本章小结
参考文献
第10章结论与讨论
10.1主要结论
10.2可能的创新点
10.3研究展望
附录
彩图

Book Abstract

《滨海地区土地利用时空格局演变与模拟预测研究》：
Linard等（2013）以非洲20个大城市为研究对象，选取1990～2000年城市变化数据，建立回归模型分析预测城乡转化的空间模式，并试图寻找影响非洲地区城市扩张空间布局的主要因素。结果显示城市用地周边1000m范围内的区域和到城市中心的可达性是两个重要的影响变量，并基于建立的模型对2020～2025年非洲城市的扩张加以预测。
Tu（2011）以美国马萨诸塞州东部为研究案例区，采用探索性空间数据分析技术、地理加权回归方法，分析城市化水平、6种土地利用类型变化与14个水质指标空间变化之间的关系。研究发现，利用水质和土地利用指标间关系来解释水质量所得结果各不相同，与城市化水平较低地区水污染物的浓度相比，商业及工业用地在高度城市化的地区比例更大。农业用地、住宅用地等的水污染物浓度在较低水平城市化地区呈现出正相关，而在高度城市化地区呈现出显著的负相关。
2.国内土地利用变化的驱动力研究
随着我国学者对土地利用变化研究不断深入，而从国际上看，土地利用变化驱动力的相关研究已经逐步成为学术界所关注的热点问题。通过分析促使土地利用发生变化的驱动因素，把握土地未来发展方向，为促进城市与区域可持续发展提供更多的帮助。
……

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