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Jingdong book

世界投资报告2013·全球价值链:促进发展的投资与贸易

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世界投资报告2013·全球价值链:促进发展的投资与贸易

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FDI复苏之路崎岖不平。2012年全球FDI流量为1.35万亿美元,下降了180-/0。由于脆弱的全球经济的影响和政策的不确定性,FDI的复苏时间超过人们的预期。UNCTAD(联合国贸易与发展会议)预测2013年FDI流量将与2012年接近,最高达1.45万亿美元。在中期,投资者将逐渐恢复信心,预计2014年FDI流量将达1.6万亿美元,2015年将达1.8万亿美元。但是,这样的发展前景依然伴随着较大的风险。
发展中国家业绩突出。2012年,发展中国家吸引的对外直接投资首次超过发达国家,占全球FDI流量的520-/0。其中一个原因是发达国家FDI流入量大幅下降,目前仅占全球流量的42%。发展中国家的对外直接投资持续稳步上升,占全球FDI流出量的1/3。
发达国家FDI流出量下降到接近2009年的最低水平。经济前景的不确定性致使发达国家的跨国公司(TNCs)不再进行大规模的国际扩张,而是对新投资继续保持观望,或者出让国外资产。2012年,38个发达国家中有22个国家的FDI流出量出现下降,这就导致FDI流出总量下降了23%。
通过离岸金融中心(OFCs)和特殊目的实体(SPEs)进行的投资仍是关注重点。流向OFCs的资金流量仍然接近2007年的最高值。尽管国际上对避税的打击大部分集中在OFCs上,但是在2011年通过SPEs投资的资金流量几乎是OFCs的7倍,为SPEs提供税收优惠的国家也在逐年增多。
Catalogue

说明
前言
鸣谢
缩略词
内容摘要
概述

第一章 FDI全球趋势
第一节 FDI全球趋势:复苏缓慢
一、当前趋势
(一)按区域划分的FDI
(二)按进入模式和行业/部门分布划分的FDI
(三)按投资者类型划分的FDI
(四)FDI与离岸金融
二、2013~2015年全球FDI前景
(一)FDI总体前景
(二)按部门/行业划分的FDI前景
(三)按母国划分的FDI前景
(四)按东道国划分的FDI前景
第二节 国际生产
一、总体趋势
二、重新定位:战略性撤资、转移和海外业务回流
第三节 FDI收入和回报率
一、FDI收入趋势
(一)总体趋势
(二)回报率
(三)再投资收益vs汇回收益
二、FDI流入量收入对东道国国际收支的影响
三、政策含义

第二章 FDI地区趋势
引言
一、地区趋势
(一)非洲
(二)东亚与东南亚
(三)南亚
(四)西亚
(五)拉丁美洲与加勒比地区
(六)转型经济体
(七)发达经济体
二、结构薄弱、易受冲击的小型经济体的趋势
(一)最不发达国家
(二)内陆发展中国家
(三)小岛屿发展中国家

第三章 近期政策发展
第一节 国家投资政策
一、总体趋势
二、各行业的投资政策
(一)服务业
(二)战略产业
三、审查跨境并购
四、投资保护主义风险
第二节 国际投资政策
一、国际投资协定发展趋势
(一)新协定数量持续下降
(二)可持续发展因素
二、国际投资协议谈判趋势
(一)地区主义势力上升
(二)地区主义产生的系统性问题
……

第四章 全球价值链:促进发展的投资与贸易
附录
参考文献
译后语
UNCTAD关于跨国公司与FDI的若干出版物
Introduction

《世界投资报告2013》的发布正值历史的重要时刻。国际社会正在致力于实现2015年的千年发展目标。同时,联合国也在努力构建2015年后的发展蓝图。有关对外直接投资(FDI)大量客观、真实的信息表明,FDI将有助于实现以上两大任务。
2012年,全球FDI总量出现下滑,主要源于宏观经济形势依旧脆弱,有关投资者的经济政策充满不确定性。预计未来两年,全球经济仅会温和回升。
报告显示,在全球宏观经济格局下,一系列重大经济变革正在酝酿过程中。发展中经济体在2012年吸收FDI的总量首次超过发达经济体,全球前五大FDI流入国中,发展中经济体占据四席。同时,发展中经济体创造了全球近1/3的FDI流出量,并且持续增长势头强劲。
2013年的世界投资报告囊括深度理论分析、战略发展路径以及实际操作建议,为政策决策者和有关人士提供参考,即如何在全球价值链中实现利益最大化、风险最小化。这正是确保经济包容性增长和可持续发展的重要条件。
在此,我将《世界投资报告2013》推荐给国际投资和发展组织,希望它能激发灵感并反映现实,共同迎接当今世界所面临的发展挑战。

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