{{sellerTotalView > 1 ? __("sellers", {number: sellerTotalView}) : __("seller", {number: sellerTotalView}) }}, {{numTotalView > 1 ? __("items", {number: numTotalView}) : __("item", {number: numTotalView}) }}
free FREE

Change Your Zip Code

Inventory information and delivery speeds may vary for different locations.

Location History

{{email ? __('Got it!') : __('Restock Alert')}}

We will notify you by email when the item back in stock.

Cancel
Yami

Jingdong book

终极复制:人工智能将如何推动社会巨变

{{buttonTypePin == 3 ? __("Scan to view more PinGo") : __("Scan to start")}}

终极复制:人工智能将如何推动社会巨变

{{__(":people-members", {'people': item.limit_people_count})}} {{ itemCurrency }}{{ item.valid_price }} {{ itemCurrency }}{{ item.invalid_price }} {{ itemDiscount }}
Ends in
{{ itemCurrency }}{{ item.valid_price }}
{{ itemCurrency }}{{ priceFormat(item.valid_price / item.bundle_specification) }}/{{ item.unit }}
{{ itemDiscount }}
{{ itemCurrency }}{{ item.valid_price }} {{ itemCurrency }}{{ priceFormat(item.valid_price / item.bundle_specification) }}/{{ item.unit }} {{ itemCurrency }}{{ item.invalid_price }} {{itemDiscount}}
{{ itemCurrency }}{{ item.valid_price }}
Sale ends in
Sale will starts after Sale ends in
{{ getSeckillDesc(item.seckill_data) }}
{{ __( "Pay with Gift Card to get sale price: :itemCurrency:price", { 'itemCurrency' : itemCurrency, 'price' : (item.giftcard_price ? priceFormat(item.giftcard_price) : '0.00') } ) }} ({{ itemCurrency }}{{ priceFormat(item.giftcard_price / item.bundle_specification) }}/{{ item.unit }}) Details
Best before

Currently unavailable.

We don't know when or if this item will be back in stock.

Unavailable in your area.
Sold Out

Details

Full product details
Editer Recommend

本书总结并推测了人工智能发展过程中的关键里程碑,以及未来可能具有的特征,同时结合人类发展历史,进一步指出了两者相碰撞可能带给人类的深刻影响。
囊括了所有关于人工智能与人类社会的问题:
从发展的角度如何定义人工智能?
人工智能发展简史;
人工智能的瓶颈和临界点在哪里?
人工智能的巨头在做什么?如何占领商业化的制高点?
开源对科技、商业和人类文明有怎样的启示?
人工智能对未来工作形态有怎样的影响?
人工智能会让未来的社会状态产生怎样的根本变化?
人类社会有哪五种可能的结局?
集科技、社会、人文于一体,视角宏大,深入浅出,即使没有任何技术背景也完全可以读懂。

Content Description

人工智能、基因、能源、纳米材料、航空航天技术这五项技术,任何一项取得突破,都将会像工业革命一样大幅重塑我们的社会形态,而所有这些技术中特别的就是人工智能。
人工智能之所以特别,不只在于它会像互联网、汽车一样带来变化,在于它会越来越多地覆盖掉人的基本能力。
当AlphaGo战胜李世石的时候,它意味着在信息完全的博弈类项目上,人工智能已经可以替代人类;当自动驾驶真正实现时,它意味着机器对周围环境进行实时反应的能力,已经逼近人类的水平。而现实中比驾驶更复杂的人为操作其实并不多。
这潜在意味着,与商业相关的岗位会逐渐变得没有价值,因为所有这些岗位基本都依赖于人的理智与部分体力。而人工智能驱动下的机器,很快会在这些岗位上展现出优势。
这里的关键是:岗位消失后,我们会面临怎样的社会形态?这正是本书核心要探讨的问题。

Author Description

李智勇,现在某知名互联网公司做战略规划和相关投资工作,此前是程序员并偶尔码字,文章散见于各科技媒体。个人喜欢关注人工智能和社会、历史、哲学。出版过两本书:《完美软件开发:方法与逻辑》《互联网+时代的7个引爆点》。

虎嗅网,一个聚合优质创新信息与人群的新媒体平台。专注于贡献原创、深度、犀利优质的商业资讯,围绕创新创业的观点剖析与交流。

Catalogue

序言
前言
第一部分窥探未来001
第1章世界怎么了004
第2章到底什么是人工智能008
人工智能发展上的起起落落008
换个角度定义人工智能014
第3章人工智能下的未来世界018
是否有一个突变的临界点018
窥探临界之后的世界021
第二部分人工智能之路029
第4章从电脑到机器人032
从"照我说的做"到"自己看着办"033
过去和未来的里程碑043
人工智能的瓶颈所在049
人工智能上的从0到1054
人机交互与产品变迁060
人工的人工智能064
第5章机器人真的会像大白吗067
从《黑客帝国》里的章鱼到大白067
人形机器人任重而道远072
第6章巨头的游戏075
Google在干什么075
少数人的游戏079
中国企业的参赛资格081
第7章人工智能上的失控风险085
极度偏执086
数据污染088
多样性与权责系统091
第三部分人工智能冲击下的社会095
第8章自然、人与人工智能098
从宇宙到人类098
从人类到人工智能102
人类与人工智能的分工边界107
第9章看见未来113
社会网络中的阶层113
有底线、有选择的社会118
第10章开源带来的启示124
开源的故事125
科技是一种至强的力量137
可能被肢解的商业文明142
第11章无差别地对待人类148
不容易搞定的自己149
人类社会麻烦很大153
世界的数据化与隐私的消亡156
当公务员变成人工智能161
第四部分人类的5种可能结局167
第12章黄金时代170
性道合一的传说172
人有不工作的权利177
无国界的单一体181
第13章虚拟空间184
黑客帝国可以有185
半虚拟世界189
无限的人生192
第14章冰火两重天195
冷平衡再现196
对抗的和融合的201
第15章借壳重生203
人类正在埋下生化人的种子204
生化人的崛起207
第16章死亡与毁灭209
寂灭后的地球210
走入宇宙历史深处的人类212
第五部分人工智能下的选择权213
第17章人工智能留给我们的选择216
第18章我们到底期望怎样的技术和社会219

Introduction

东北农村的百岁老人是非常特别的一群人,因为他们的一生横跨了传统的农业文明、工业革命、信息革命以及将起而未起的智能革命,可以说数千年间所有人类的重大变迁都可以在他们"短暂的"一生里找到痕迹。

他们20岁的时候,由于家里并不富裕,所以大多数已经成为家里的主要劳动力。农业文明的典型特征是主要依靠人力或畜力,所以每当过年的时候为了吃饺子,总是要自己借来一大堆器具比如风灯、簸箕、毛驴,再等到石磨空闲时求人帮忙磨面。辛苦几次后,为了避免麻烦,他们可能就学会了整套操作。随着年龄的增长,为了省钱,自己会做的事情就越来越多,学会编炕席、盖鸡窝、修补房子等。春天、秋天的时候主要忙地里的活,闲下来的时间就忙着这些修修补补的杂活。一年里几乎没有空闲的时候,每天总是累得半死,但也吃不到什么太好的东西。忙于果腹的他们不会知道就是在这一年(1936年)英国广播公司采用贝尔德机电式电视广播,第一次播出了具有较高清晰度、步入实用阶段的电视图像,这种科技浪潮要50年后才真正能波及他们。

30岁的时候,他们已经结了婚,中间也幸运地没被抓去当兵,但除了生活负担更重以外,生活本身似乎没有发生任何根本性变化,每天都在简单地重复着前一天,那时候他们心里经常祈祷不要有天灾人祸落在自己身上,因为贫困使得他们的家庭实在没有任何承受风险的能力。天时驱动的重复也是农业文明的一种特征,几代人之间不会有太大的区别,即使是饥荒也只会改变生活的地点,但通常不会改变基本的生活方式。他们不知道就是在这一年(1946年)一个叫计算机的东西问世了,美国军方定制的世界上第一台电子计算机"电子数字积分计算机"(electronic numerical and calculator,ENIAC)在美国宾夕法尼亚大学建成,定制这东西的主要目的是为了满足计算弹道需要,它使用了17?840支电子管,大小为24.4米×2.44米,重达28吨,功耗为170kW,其运算速度为每秒5000次的加法运算,造价约为487?000美元,为看到计算机他们还要再等上50年。

70岁的时候,他们已经经历了非常多的土地上的变化,先是土地改革,有了自己的土地,接下来成立了合作社,土地变成集体的,再接下来又包产到户。活儿还是不少,但没以前那么累了,生产队里终于有了拖拉机,村子里也通上了电灯,骡马开始逐渐减少,人开始围着机器转,玉米脱粒开始主要依赖机器。包产到户后各家都开始买电视机,没事看看电视剧成为主要的消遣。到这个时候,两次工业革命的成果终于开始渗透到农村,但他们仍然和世界有所隔阂。也是在这一年(1986年)大洋彼岸的康柏公司做出了第一台采用了Intel 80386 16MHz CPU、640KB内存、20MB硬盘、1.2M软驱的386计算机。一家叫微软的公司销售额超过了1亿美元,并且尝试开发一款基于图形用户界面的操作系统Windows1.0,信息革命的大幕正在拉开。

90岁的时候,他们会看到家里用电的东西越来越多,先是装固定电话,接下来电饭煲这些东西都开始走进家里,最要命的还是电脑,家里小孩每天都挤在电脑旁打游戏、看电影,还用它买东西、看新闻什么的。也有的小孩会随身拿着一种白色的叫iPod的东西播放音乐。在这一年(2006年),乔布斯已经开始密谋发布iPhone这款带来划时代变化的智能手机,移动互联网正在准备进一步改造每个人的生活。

100岁的时候,此前装的固定电话逐渐被废弃了,电脑也被冷落了不少,年轻人每天都捧着手机,不知道在干些什么。人们每天聊的东西和100年前相差十万八千里。地球上每天发生了什么事情,大家似乎立刻就知道了,而自己当年大概只知道十里八村的事情。周围还有很多人在研究如何把大米直接拿到网上去卖。这时候重孙子基本已经上了高中,他们没事会聊一种叫人工智能的东西,这东西似乎可以让汽车没人开就能跑,也能代替播音员报天气预报,还可以让厂子里干活儿的人没活儿干等。人们对这种技术的态度和对电视机、电脑的态度有点不一样,有的人认为这是很大的危险,不能发展它,它会让人没工作,发展它之后人都干什么去,并且它一旦产生了意识,那人类就危险了,但也有人说这东西如果发展起来就不用自己种地了,每天在家里待着还能有不错的收成,这有多好,为什么不发展,怎么可能世界变发达了人还没法活了。

在这群老人的身上,科技对生活的改变好像被用快进播放了一遍,从这种快进中我们可以看到科技用一种无坚不摧的力量在极短的时间内把人们生活的方式揉来搓去,而人的意愿在这种科技浪潮面前毫无抗力。过去是这样,将来也会是这样,人类又可以拿什么来抵抗科技浪潮所掀起的改变呢?现实中其实并没有可以逃避社会变迁的桃花源。

当老人们偶尔听到"人工智能"这个词的时候,这标志着一个新的时代正在拉开序幕,恰如有电、有汽车、有电脑之后的生活和之前的生活发生大幅度的改变一样,生活的模式接下来很可能会因此而有更大的变化。老人们看淡了风云变幻,估计会对各种变化不太在意。但很多人估计还是会对这奔涌而来的变革浪潮感到好奇,未来100年人类的生活又会发生怎样的变迁?人工智能究竟会给我们带来什么?


Specifications

Brand Jingdong book
Brand Origin China

Disclaimer

Product packaging, specifications and price are subject to change without notice. All information about the products on our website is provided for information purposes only. Please always read labels, warnings and directions provided with the product before use.

View Full Terms of Use
Add to favorites
{{ $isZh ? coupon.coupon_name_sub : coupon.coupon_ename_sub | formatCurrency }}
{{__("Buy Directly")}} {{ itemCurrency }}{{ item.directly_price }}
Quantity
{{ quantity }}
{{ instockMsg }}
{{ limitText }}
{{buttonTypePin == 3 ? __("Scan to view more PinGo") : __("Scan to start")}}
Sold by JD@CHINA
Ship to
{{ __("Ship to United States only") }}
Free shipping over 69
Genuine guarantee

Added to Cart

Keep Shopping

More to Consider

{{ item.brand_name }}

{{ item.item_name }}

{{ item.currency }}{{ item.market_price }}

{{ item.currency }}{{ item.unit_price }}

{{ item.currency }}{{ item.unit_price }}

Coupons

{{ coupon.coupon_name_new | formatCurrency }}
Clip Clipped Over
{{ getCouponDescStr(coupon) }}
{{ coupon.use_time_desc }}
Expires soon {{ formatTime(coupon.use_end_time) }}

Share this item with friends

Cancel

Yami Gift Card

Get this exclusive deal when paying with gift card

Terms and Conditions

Gift card deals are special offers for selected products;

The gift card deals will automatically be activated if a customer uses gift card balance at check out and the balance is sufficient to pay for the total price of the shopping cart products with gift card deals;

You will not be able to activate the gift card deals if you choose other payment methods besides gift card. The products will be purchased at their normal prices;

If your account balance is not enough to pay for the products with gift card deals, you can choose to reload your gift card balance by clicking on the Reload button at either shopping cart page or check out page;

Products that have gift card deals can be recognized by a special symbol showing 'GC Deal';

For any additional questions or concerns, please contact our customer service;

Yamibuy reserves the right of final interpretation.

Sold by Yami

Service Guarantee

Yami Free Shipping over $49
Yami Easy Returns
Yami Ships from United States

Shipping

  • United States

    Standard Shipping is $5.99 (Excluding Alaska & Hawaii). Free on orders of $49 or more.

    Local Express is $5.99 (Available in Parts of CA, NJ, MA & PA). Free on orders of $49 or more.

    2-Day Express (Includes Alaska & Hawaii) starts at $19.99.

Return Policy

Yami is committed to provide our customers with a peace of mind when purchasing from us. Most items shipped from Yamibuy.com can be returned within 30 days of receipt of shipment (For Food, Beverages, Snacks, Dry Goods, Health supplements, Fresh Grocery and Perishables Goods, within 7 days of receipt of shipment due to damages or quality issues; To ensure that every customer receives safe and high-quality products, we do not provide refunds or returns for beauty products once they have been opened or used, except in the case of quality issues; Some products may have different policies or requirements associated with them, please see below for products under special categories, or contact Yami Customer Service for further assistance).
Thank you for your understanding and support.

Learn More

Sold by Yami

Terms and Conditions of Yami E-Gift Card

If you choose “Redeem automatically” as your delivery method, your gift card balance will be reload automatically after your order has been processed successfully;

If you choose “Send to Email”as your delivery method, the card number and CVV will be sent to the email address automatically;

Any user can use the card number and CVV to redeem the gift card, please keep your gift card information safely. If you have any trouble receiving email, please contact Yami customer service;

Yami gift card can be used to purchase both Yami owned or Marketplace products;

Yami gift card will never expire;

Yami gift card balance does not have to be used up at once;

All rights reserved by Yami.

Return Policy

Gift card that has already been consumed is non-refundable.

Sold by JD@CHINA

Service Guarantee

Yami Free Shipping over $49
Yami Easy Returns
Yami Ships from United States

Shipping

  • United States

    Standard Shipping is $5.99 (Excluding Alaska & Hawaii). Free on orders of $49 or more.

    Local Express is $5.99 (Available in Parts of CA, NJ, MA & PA). Free on orders of $49 or more.

    2-Day Express (Includes Alaska & Hawaii) starts at $19.99.

Return Policy

You may return product within 30 days upon receiving the product. Items returned must be new in it's original packing, including the original invoice for the purchase. Customer return product at their own expense.

Sold by JD@CHINA

Service Guarantee

Yami Cross-store Free Shipping over $69
Yami 30-days Return

Yami-China FC

Yami has a consolidation warehouse in China which collects multiple sellers’ packages and combines to one order. Our Yami consolidation warehouse will directly ship the packages to your door. Cross-store free shipping over $69.

Return Policy

You may return products within 30 days upon receiving the products. Sellers take responsibilities for any wrong shipment or missing items. Packing needs to be unopened for any other than quality issues return. We promise to pack carefully, but because goods are taking long journey to destinations, simple damages to packaging may occur. Any damages not causing internal goods quality problems are not allowed to return. If you open the package and any quality problem is found, please contact customer service within three days after receipt of goods.

Shipping Information

Yami Consolidation Service Shipping Fee $9.99(Free shipping over $69)

Sellers in China will ship their orders within 1-2 business days once the order is placed. Packages are sent to our consolidation warehouse in China and combined there. Our Yami consolidation warehouse will directly ship the packages to you via UPS. The average time for UPS to ship from China to the United States is about 10 working days and it can be traced using the tracking number. Due to the pandemic, the delivery time may be delayed by about 5 days. The package needs to be signed by the guest. If the receipt is not signed, the customer shall bear the risk of loss of the package.

Sold by JD@CHINA

Service Guarantee

Free shipping over 69
Genuine guarantee

Shipping

Yami Consolidated Shipping $9.99(Free shipping over $69)


Seller will ship the orders within 1-2 business days. The logistics time limit is expected to be 7-15 working days. In case of customs clearance, the delivery time will be extended by 3-7 days. The final receipt date is subject to the information of the postal company.

Yami Points information

All items are excluding from any promotion or points events on Yamibuy.com

Return Policy

You may return product within 30 days upon receiving the product. Items returned must be new in it's original packing, including the original invoice for the purchase. Customer return product at their own expense.

Yami

Download the Yami App

Back Top

Recommended for You

About the brand

Jingdong book

为您推荐

Yami
欣葉
2种选择
欣叶 御大福 芋头麻薯 180g

周销量 600+

$1.66 $1.99 83折
Yami
欣葉
2种选择
欣叶 御大福 芋头麻薯 180g

周销量 600+

$1.66 $1.99 83折
Yami
欣葉
2种选择
欣叶 御大福 芋头麻薯 180g

周销量 600+

$1.66 $1.99 83折
Yami
欣葉
2种选择
欣叶 御大福 芋头麻薯 180g

周销量 600+

$1.66 $1.99 83折
Yami
欣葉
2种选择
欣叶 御大福 芋头麻薯 180g

周销量 600+

$1.66 $1.99 83折
Yami
欣葉
2种选择
欣叶 御大福 芋头麻薯 180g

周销量 600+

$1.66 $1.99 83折

Reviews{{'('+ commentList.posts_count + ')'}}

Have your say. Be the first to help other guests.

Write a review
{{ totalRating }} Write a review
  • {{i}} star

    {{i}} stars

    {{ parseInt(commentRatingList[i]) }}%

Yami Yami
{{ comment.user_name }}

{{ showTranslate(comment) }}Show Less

{{ strLimit(comment,800) }}Show more

Show Original

{{ comment.content }}

Yami
Show All

{{ formatTime(comment.in_dtm) }} VERIFIED PURCHASE {{groupData}}

{{ comment.likes_count }} {{ comment.likes_count }} {{ comment.reply_count }} {{comment.in_user==uid ? __('Delete') : __('Report')}}
Yami Yami
{{ comment.user_name }}

{{ showTranslate(comment) }}Show Less

{{ strLimit(comment,800) }}Show more

Show Original

{{ comment.content }}

Yami
Show All

{{ formatTime(comment.in_dtm) }} VERIFIED PURCHASE {{groupData}}

{{ comment.likes_count }} {{ comment.likes_count }} {{ comment.reply_count }} {{comment.in_user==uid ? __('Delete') : __('Report')}}

No related comment~

Review

Yami Yami

{{ showTranslate(commentDetails) }}Show Less

{{ strLimit(commentDetails,800) }}Show more

Show Original

{{ commentDetails.content }}

Yami
Show All

{{ formatTime(commentDetails.in_dtm) }} VERIFIED PURCHASE {{groupData}}

{{ commentDetails.likes_count }} {{ commentDetails.likes_count }} {{ commentDetails.reply_count }} {{commentDetails.in_user==uid ? __('Delete') : __('Report')}}

Please write at least one word

Comments{{'(' + replyList.length + ')'}}

Yami Yami

{{ showTranslate(reply) }}Show Less

{{ strLimit(reply,800) }}Show more

Show Original

{{ reply.reply_content }}

{{ formatTime(reply.reply_in_dtm) }}

{{ reply.reply_likes_count }} {{ reply.reply_likes_count }} {{ reply.reply_reply_count }} {{reply.reply_in_user==uid ? __('Delete') : __('Report')}}

Please write at least one word

Cancel

That’s all the comments so far!

Write a review
How would you rate this item?

Please add your comment.

  • A nice nickname will make your comments more popular!
  • The nickname in your account will be changed to the same as here.
Thanks for your review
Our community rely on great reviews like yours to find the best of Asia.

Report

If you find this content inappropriate and think it should be removed from the Yami.com site, let us know please.

Cancel

Are you sure to delete your review?

Cancel

You’ve Recently Viewed

About the brand

Jingdong book