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Jingdong book

竞争性电力市场模拟定价机制

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Books Economy Industrial Economy

Jingdong book

竞争性电力市场模拟定价机制

Name: 竞争性电力市场模拟定价机制
Brand: Jingdong book
SKU: 3110139891
Price: 45.04 USD
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Content Description

《竞争性电力市场模拟定价机制》是《电力经济与管理译丛》中的一册，全面介绍了竞争性电力市场模拟定价机制。《竞争性电力市场模拟定价机制》共有15章，分别是：竞争性电力价格的结构和行为基础；竞争者对西班牙日前市场的市场模拟的反应；电力市场补充性均衡模型；英国发电市场中横向并购的价格影响；对西班牙电力联营机制中每周季节性单位根的测试；对艾伯塔放松管制的电力市场非线性时间序列的分析；以分位数为基础的电力价格概率模型；对阿根廷当日现货市场时间变化的协方差矩阵预测；美国西部电力现货市场相互动态影响的分析；澳大利亚电力现货市场电价及其波动的传播；应用中期均衡经济学和供应保障的价值预测电力的高阶矩定价；北欧市场电力远期曲线动态模型；远期曲线的动态性和市场转变预测；风险利润管理下的价格模型；预测天气变化密度对天气衍生工具和电价的影响。
《竞争性电力市场模拟定价机制》可供电力监管及电力市场专业人员使用，可作为培训教材，也可以作为一种普通读物，面向电力行业外愿意了解电力经济的各类人员。

Author Description

Derek W.Bunn是伦敦商学院教授、决策科学学科主席，能源市场研究组主任。他曾任职于牛津大学和斯坦福大学。作为能源经济方面著名的国际咨询专家，他曾为多家全球能源公司提供咨询，并为政府机构提出了大量的建议。在预测，决策分析及能源经济领域发表了150多篇学术论文，出版了9本著作。自1984年以来，他一直是《预测》杂志的首席主编，在电气领域从事研究和实簂作已达25年以上。

Catalogue

《电力经济与管理译丛》总序
译者前言
作者前言
第1章竞争性电力价格的结构和行业基础
摘要
1.1 导论
1.2 市场基本原理
1.3 制度改革和战略性演变
1.4 概要评论

第一部分价格和战略性竞争
第2章竞争者对西班牙日前市场的市场模拟的反应
摘要
2.1 引言
2.2 西班牙小时竞价电力市场
2.3 竞价函数分析的两阶段群集程序
2.4 使用时间序列模型预测剩余需求函数
2.5 发现电力市场状态，以便使用隐藏投入——产出的马尔柯夫模型预测剩余需求函数
2.6 模拟电力市场的推测差分方法
2.7 结论
术语及其含义
参考文献

第3章电力市场补充性均衡模型
摘要
3.1 引言
3.2 定义
3.3 能源商品市场的一般补充性均衡模型
3.4 两种模拟分析输电网络中的古诺发电厂商行为的方法的比较
3.5 大范围的应用：北美东部的电网互联
3.6 结论
参考文献

第4章英国发电市场中横向并购的价值影响
摘要
4.1 序言
4.2 英格兰和威尔士电力联营
4.3 分析
4.4 价格预测
参考文献

第二部分动态现货市场
第5章对西班牙联营体中每周季节性单位根的测试
第6章对艾伯塔放松管制的电力市场非线性时间序列的分析
第7章以分位数为基础的电力价格概率模型
第8章对阿根廷当日现货市场对时间变化的协方差矩阵预测

第三部分空间价格的相互影响
第9章美国西部电力现货市场相互动态影响的分析
第10章澳大利亚电力现贷市场电价及其波动的传播

第四部分远期价格
第11章应用中期均衡经济学和供应保障的价值预测电力的高阶矩定价
第12章北欧市场电力远期曲线动态模型
第13章远期曲线的动态性和市场转变预测

第五部分预测和风险管理
第14章风险利润管理下的价格模型
第15章预测天气变化密度对天气衍生工具和电价的影响

Book Abstract

第1章竞争性电力价格的结构和行业基础
1.1 导论
从一个金融和商品市场的角度来看，*售电力价格一般可以看成是投资者对各种燃料产品，如天然气、石油或者煤炭，创设了实物期权的结果。尽管在世界各个不同的地方，发电大都使用水能和核能，但是占主导地位的生产过程仍然是化石燃料，如天然气、石油和煤炭的热能转换。这是一个资本非常密集的过程，电厂令人难以想像地只雇佣为数不多的工人。因为在交易市场，电力经常是提前1h才进行交易，所以，在这一短时间内，发电的可变成本基本上就是燃料成本。即使在使用大量水能和核能的电力系统中，也常常是由化石燃料厂来确定市场价格。
依发电厂厂齡和技术的不同，一般情况下，原燃料能量含量的一半左右能够转换成电能。按照这种计算，在了解基本燃料的现货和期货市场价格，以及相对熟知的对各发电厂系统交衒评级的情况下，系统中每个发电厂的短期边际成本能够被合理地估算为能源价格的简单转换。当然，发电厂的所有者也想收回其管理费用并获得投资回报，燃料和电力市场价格之间的差额，所谓服务费盈利，就成为拥有和管理电厂的价值。作为一项不动资产是交易者所持有的一份契约，服务费代表了将燃料价格转换成电力价格的期权费。从这一点来说，似乎乍一看电力价格的根本影响因素应该是明白易懂的。
……

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