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Jingdong book

从奇迹到成熟:韩国转型经验

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已有经济增长理论主要着眼于后发经济体的“起飞”,对此后的“持续飞行”和“降落”缺少分析框架。本书对韩国经济高速增长尤其是“降落”期的经验深有洞见,中国的情况虽然更为复杂,但书中描述的规律性元素更具针对性,也更有理论和政策分析价值。
——刘世锦 国务院发展研究中心原副主任、研究员

在加入国际竞争中追赶;及时调整和升级发展模式;系统优化人口与养老政策;以结构性改革跨越“中等收入陷阱”。此书对韩国转型经验的介绍可圈可点,很值得国人重视和借鉴。
——贾康 华夏新供给经济学研究院院长、研究员

韩国经济从奇迹到成熟,走过了一段不平凡的道路,经历了危机,也收获了最终的成功。中国刚刚开始踏上同样的一段从经济奇迹到常规发展的转型之路,巴里•艾肯格林、德怀特•珀金斯和申宽浩对韩国转型经验深刻而又精彩的分析可以为中国提供很多有益的借鉴。
——黄益平 北京大学国家发展研究院副院长、教授

20世纪90年代,韩国面临增速换档和结构转型的挑战,曾经一度改革迟滞、问题堆积、常年熊市,但最终在危机倒逼下,成功推动了市场化改革。韩国在当时所面临的挑战及其应对、熊牛转换、产业机会等对于当前中国投资者而言具有重要的启发意义。
——黄燕铭 国泰君安证券研究所所长

在经济发展中如何处理好增长、转型以及危机防范之间的关系是一个复杂的实践问题。本书对韩国经济从起飞到软着陆过程各个阶段的系统性分析,是对经济增长理论体系的丰富。更重要的是,鉴于中韩经济增长模式的相近性,韩国的经验貌似个别,实则对中国经济和政策极具针对性指导意义,不可不察。
——王庆 上海重阳投资管理有限公司总裁
Content Description

本书是当前国际学术界最活跃、最富影响力的著名经济学家艾肯格林和铂金斯的重要著作,主要讲述韩国经济增长和转型经验。作者系统深入地研究了韩国在经济增长态势、经济结构、创新能力、资本流动、金融体系等方面转型所取得的进展,认为韩国已经展现出作为一个成熟发达经济体的特征,完成了从经济增长奇迹到成熟经济体的转变。本书中的很多真知灼见对当前的中国极具启发,对中国的经济改革和转型具有十分重要的借鉴意义。目前本书原版在国内经济学界已经小范围建立了声誉,并受到很多领导和著名经济学家的推荐。预计中译本的出版将会受到关注。
Author Description

巴里•艾肯格林(Barry Eichengreen),美国加州大学伯克利分校乔治•C.帕迪和海伦•N.帕迪经济学讲座教授和政治学教授。美国国民经济研究局助理研究员、英国经济政策研究中心研究员、加州帕洛阿尔托行为科学高等研究中心以及柏林高等研究所研究员,同时是Project Syndicate每月定期的专栏作者。曾任美国艺术与科学学院研究员(1997年)、国际货币基金组织的高级政策顾问(1997—1998)、贝拉吉奥学者及经济官员集团(Bellagio Group)召集人、彼得森国际经济研究所学术顾问委员会主席,曾荣获古根海姆奖和富布赖特奖。
艾肯格林教授的研究广泛涉猎国际经济学的诸多历史和现实问题,在宏观经济史、国际金融货币体系、金融危机理论、亚洲金融市场等领域做出了开创性的学术贡献。主要著述有《资本全球化:国际货币体系史》《嚣张的特权:美元的兴衰和货币的未来》《中国,亚洲,以及新世界的经济》等。
德怀特•珀金斯(Dwight H. Perkins),美国哈佛大学政治经济学教授,原哈佛亚洲中心主任。德怀特•珀金斯教授是研究发展中国家经济最著名的学者之一,尤其是他对东亚、东南亚与中国问题的分析令人瞩目。探讨的内容包括从中央计划经济向市场经济转轨、农业长期发展、工业政策、东亚近年来快速增长的根本原因以及东亚未来保持快速增长的前景等。其所著的《发展经济学》是发展经济学领域的权威教材。
申宽浩(Kwanho Shin),韩国高丽大学教授。
Comments

★已有经济增长理论主要着眼于后发经济体的“起飞”,对此后的“持续飞行”和“降落”缺少分析框架。本书对韩国经济高速增长尤其是“降落”期的经验深有洞见,中国的情况虽然更为复杂,但书中描述的规律性元素更具针对性,也更有理论和政策分析价值。
——刘世锦 国务院发展研究中心原副主任、研究员

★在加入国际竞争中追赶;及时调整和升级发展模式;系统优化人口与养老政策;以结构性改革跨越“中等收入陷阱”。此书对韩国转型经验的介绍可圈可点,很值得国人重视和借鉴。
——贾康 华夏新供给经济学研究院院长、研究员

★韩国经济从奇迹到成熟,走过了一段不平凡的道路,经历了危机,也收获了最终的成功。中国刚刚开始踏上同样的一段从经济奇迹到常规发展的转型之路,巴里·艾肯格林、德怀特·珀金斯和申宽浩对韩国转型经验深刻而又精彩的分析可以为中国提供很多有益的借鉴。
——黄益平 北京大学国家发展研究院副院长、教授

★20世纪90年代,韩国面临增速换档和结构转型的挑战,曾经一度改革迟滞、问题堆积、常年熊市,但最终在危机倒逼下,成功推动了市场化改革。韩国在当时所面临的挑战及其应对、熊牛转换、产业机会等对于当前中国投资者而言具有重要的启发意义。
——黄燕铭 国泰君安证券研究所所长

★在经济发展中如何处理好增长、转型以及危机防范之间的关系是一个复杂的实践问题。本书对韩国经济从起飞到软着陆过程各个阶段的系统性分析,是对经济增长理论体系的丰富。更重要的是,鉴于中韩经济增长模式的相近性,韩国的经验貌似个别,实则对中国经济和政策极具针对性指导意义,不可不察。
——王庆 上海重阳投资管理有限公司总裁
Catalogue

第一章 引言
第二章 增长的来源
总量增长核算方法
数据说明
基本增长核算的结果
劳动力和教育的作用
最近情况
国际背景下的韩国
金融危机和经济增长
多国增长的计量经济学研究
结论
附录

第三章 增长的结构变动
部门分解
解释部门间TFP增长差异
高科技的涌现
产业政策的角色
去工业化
小结
附录

第四章 服务业与经济增长-
高收入国家的服务业
服务业低生产率的原因
提高服务业生产率
破除监管管制
不同部门的不同问题
结论
附录

第五章 出口与经济增长
相关性分析
韩国出口表现的国际比较
出口的技术含量
出口与经济增长的关系是否弱化?
中国是否为主因?
服务业出口
结论
附录

第六章 外国直接投资与经济增长
概要
外国直接投资
对外直接投资
对经济增长的启示
结论

第七章 经济危机与增长
四次危机
危机发生频率的比较
危机影响的国际比较
结论
附录

第八章 总结
观点
改革重点
前景展望
注释
参考文献
图表索引
Book Abstract

《从奇迹到成熟:韩国转型经验》:
增加值数据(2000年不变价)来自于韩国中央银行(Bank of Korea)的国民经济核算数据。劳动力投入工时,按就业人口总数乘以每周平均工作小时数计算,其中各行业的就业人口和周工作小时数分别来自于《经济活动人口调查年度报告》和《劳动统计年鉴》。就业人口总数包括长期和临时员工、自我雇佣员工以及无酬家庭工作人员。
由于国民经济核算报告提供的劳动收入份额是基于工资单上的支付给员工的报酬,我们需要估计自我雇佣员工和家庭员工的工资报酬,以得到整体劳动力的收入份额。假定批发和零售贸易、餐饮和酒店,以及社区、社会及个人服务业的自我雇佣员工和家庭员工的工资报酬是在职人员的三分之一,而对于制造业和其他服务业,自我雇佣员工和家庭员工的工资报酬是同行业在职人员工资的五分之四。
……

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