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机器人革命:即将到来的机器人时代

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机工社 工业4.0京东大专题:请戳此处

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你有没有想过机器人在不久的将来会以前台接待员、门卫、医院工作人员、引导员、私人健身教练和家政服务人员等形式出现在我们的办公室、商业活动和家中,给我们带来巨大的利益、便捷和绝妙的体验?
未来的机器人将具有人类的创造力,会替代你我的工作,令我们失业吗?
目前机器人技术的发展已经非常惊人,机器人在医疗、娱乐、国防军事等领域正不断地得到应用和推广。因为许多与智能机器人有关的技术飞速发展,特别是计算机技术的突飞猛进,使我们可以期待不远的将来智能机器人将会出现在我们的生活中。

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约瑟夫·巴科恩(Yoseph Bar-Coben)博士,在美国国家航空航天局(National Aeronautics and Space, NASA)喷气推进实验室(行政上由加州理工学院管理)中担任高级科学家及课题研究组组长,从事电活性材料及装置和仿生机制方面的研究。

大卫·汉森(David Hanson)博士,作为一名艺术家兼科学家,从事着仿生机器人的研制工作。他创造的机器人以可以进行智能会话、节能,并且造型艺术化、卡通化为特征。除了硬件上的创新,汉森及其所创办的公司——汉森机器人有限公司还致力于智能对话机器人技术的开发。
Catalogue

序言
致谢
作者简介
第一章 引言
第二章 仿人机器人和人型机器人的诞生
第三章 人型机器人是如何制造的
第四章“重新设计”数字化的自己
第五章 镜子中的我们
第六章 机器人的发展趋势
第七章 伦理道德问题——它们将继续为我们所用还是成为我们的敌人
第八章 一个全新的世界

Book Abstract

最先进技术水平:是科幻还是现实
我们所看过的那些科幻电影和小说中描述的人型机器人是现如今科技所远远不能企及的。但是这里面的想法可以为未来机器人发展指引方向,并且人们可以从中得到启示以防止机器人会产生的负面影响及危害。随着机器人被做的越来越像真人,人们会越来越担心机器人会被用在不好的地方。 在机器人实体化前, 相关的伦理和哲学问题及挑战就被提上了日程。著名的科学小说家——Isaac Asimov提出了机器人的三大法则,后来他又提出了一个零法则,成为人类--机器人关系的指导原则。在他的法则中,机器人的职能仅限于仆人,并且永远都不允许伤害到人类。
最新的科学技术可以使机器人跟人看起来非常相像,但是却只能实现有线的功能.有些机器人甚至在被制作出后还在不断地接受最新科技的改造以不断提高功能。换言之,这些机器人拥有自我学习的能力并能够周期性地更新。因此,这些机器人的复杂性就在于其可以完全自主行动并可以自我诊断。未来的机器人,还将可以自行选择维修设施以进行检查或修理。为了防止损伤,未来的机器人有可能会由一种新型的具有自愈功能的仿生材料制成。
人/机交互中的语音合成、检测和识别等技术的不断进步,使得机器人可以与人类进行语言交流、可以使用面部表情、以眼神交汇等方式表达感情、对情绪和语言线索的反应等。这些能力使得机器人可以表现得更加自然, 此外, 由于机器人在跟人类交流时已经很熟悉人类了,因此也不需要做过多的训练。还有一些人类其他的行为举止是机器人也需要拥有的,譬如说在听人讲话时会时不时地点一下头、周期性地眨一下眼、以及与说话人进行眼神交流。在于人类进行沟通的过程中,这些机器人还不应该长时间地盯着讲话人的眼睛,以避免给人造成不舒服。
现阶段,机器人与人类的交流能力还仅停留在词汇和内容层面上。要想使得机器人能跟人顺畅地交流还需要大量的研究工作,其中包括将声音转化为计算机文本、 翻译外语和方言。随着科技的进步,我们可以想象机器人可以跟人类讨论社会问题、商业投资、个人问题,甚至还可以进行哲学和政治辩论。
机器人作为家用电器,或者说作为“伴侣”他们需要能在我们的各种日常生活中都能做到足够的支持,其中包括打扫房间,对家用电器进行定期维护,甚至还需要保护我们的房子。这些家务听起来都是些琐碎的小事,但对于当下的机器人认知能力等技术要求来说的话,是过于复杂了。作为家里的保安,机器人可以核实来访者是否为房主的亲戚、朋友或者是预期上门服务人员,他们有识别不受欢迎人员的能力,并且在必要的情况下通知执法人员并能在警察赶到之前一直困住嫌疑人。家庭机器人还可以使人振奋,当有趣的事情发生时会笑,闻出各种气味,并且可以品尝食物、推荐食谱、提供详细的营养信息和健康信息。此外,机器人还可以用任何语言、口音、声音性别甚至是手语来播报新闻、通知主人重要的电子邮件、或者提供各种有趣的消息。
事实上,市面上已经出现了一些家用机器人,并且在美国和日本已经广泛地使用了。但这些机器并不具有人类的外形特征。比方说有iRobot公司制造的盘形自导吸尘器——RoombaTM,迄今为止已经销售数百万台了。还有一个就是名为Robomow的剪草机器人,它可以在剪草的时候避开障碍物。
……
Introduction

序言

机器人如何革命?

自英文版问世以来,约瑟夫?巴-科恩和大卫?汉森的《机器人革命》为普及大众对“类人机器人”的认识、推动大众对机器人的热情做出了重大的贡献。本书中文版的发行,恰值“机器人热”席卷中国,加之当下“工业4.0”“互联网﹢”等一波接一波的智能技术浪潮接连来袭,相信会引发国人对机器人更大的兴趣和更高的热情,并由此进一步推动机器人技术在中国的深入发展与应用。

本书内容非常翔实,写作风格独特,是同类书籍中的佼佼者。与同期Springer出版的另一大部头著作《机器人手册》风格迥异。本书不涉及数学、力学和控制理论,但通过大量具体生动的机器人实例给出关于技术和应用的一般性讨论,以及世界范围内的现状描述,可读性极强。而且,本书每章之后还提供了大量专业性文献和网站链接,在一般非专业性阅读之余,为有兴趣和能力的读者进入专业学习和研究提供了许多方便。

机器人技术对我国智能制造和产业升级至关重要,特别是在一个强调“互联网﹢”、全民“众包”创新的“创客”时代更是如此。科技发展到今天,或许应验了物理学家波恩的断言:“积累和应用知识的过程,作为全人类在长时期中的一种努力,必须遵循按指数增长的统计规律,而且不可能加以阻止。”(波恩:《我的一生和我的观点》,第32页)。在这种智能按指数发展而产生“智能爆炸(Intelligence Explosion)”的情况下,机器人尤为重要,因为这是一种将“软”智能变成“硬”智能的现实技术,没有机器人或类似的智能自动化技术,“改变世界”就将沦为一句只能制造更多混乱的空话。

不过,正如本书所揭示的,目前机器人技术距离“智能”和“类人”还差得很远,已有的所谓“类人机器人”几乎全部都是表面性的,以科普和娱乐为主要功能。今天的机器人其实还沒有完全“站”起来,有用的差不多只有生产线上的机械手和家里爬行的吸尘器,想革命根本没有本钱,“即将来到的机器人革命(The Coming Robot Revolution)”还仅仅停留为一种可能性。机器人如何革命?这需要在波恩关于知识累积的断言之外,再补上爱因斯坦的名言:“智能的真正标志不是知识,而是想象。”

机器人要智能,要革命,也必须靠“想象”!如何“想象”,就是寄托在本书这类著作中的希望: 希望这本书能激发更多年轻人的激情和想象,一心一意投入到智能机器人的研发与应用之中,以人类的智力,诱发培育机器人的“想象”力,使明天的机器人成为真正造福于人类的智能化类人机器人,使人类的生活充满更加丰富的美好想象。

本书的不足之处,一是在表述古代传说中的机器人时,只提到了古希腊神话中匠神赫淮斯托斯的机械手,没有讲中国西周匠人偃师献给周穆王的能歌善舞甚至“勾引挑逗”王之美人的机器人“能倡者”(见《列子?汤问篇》)。“能倡者”是人类文字记录中第一个真正的“类人机器人”: 人之形加人之情,而且肝胆、心肺、脾脏、肠胃等五脏俱全,“皆傅会革、木、胶、漆、白、黑、丹、青之所为”。此外,还有中国百姓熟知的“木牛流马”,不但是移动机器人,可能还是“无人车”的始祖。书中提到犹太教中将生命赋予人形陶土的传说,其实中国有流传更广、更为精彩的女娲以泥土仿照自己抟土造人,创造人类社会的神话。二是书中关于机器人的期望和恐惧的描述带有作者猜想和感受的成分。有些可以深入的话题,如对于日本人森政弘的“恐怖谷”理论,从书的开头到结尾都有提及,但不太深入,这本是一个非常有趣、值得科普的“兴奋点”。

不论如何,明天的机器人一定要革命。因为归根结底,人类必须革自己昨天的命,但由于“文明”程度的提高和“理性”的限制,革命只能依靠机器人去完成,这就是机器人们最神圣的“使命”。

中科院自动化所复杂系统管理与控制国家重点实验室主任 王飞跃



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